this post was submitted on 25 Oct 2023
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They had like 200k at the beginning. Then mobilized 300k more. Probably got a bit less than 100k from wagner+prisoners. After they hiked up the salaries they said they got another 300k, which if only half true is a lot. All together that's up to 900k. Ukraine says about 300k russian casualties in a bit less than two years. A percentage of that can probably return and Ukrainian estimates are a bit higher than reality so let's say 100k per year. That means that with the current tempo they won't need additional mobilization for up to 3 years if we assume they are fine with 200k stationed men, which is a lot, probably more than they can gear.
Additional mobilization in a few years might be done, who knows.
If this has any chance of ending it will have to be political and come from within Russia and there is literally only one way this can happen : of the price of oil dramatically drops for any significant time. Like a recession.
Ukraine is stating almost 300k dead. There's some factor who are casualties above that that are wounded.
In the article the Russian priests are saying 1 million lost to death/wounded.
Ive seen some analyst say that dead/wounded are 1:3 in this conflict which would check the 1 million figure.
Ukraine says almost 300k casualties on the Russian side. That term means dead and wounded. Leaked American documents say Americans count about 120k dead on the Russian side and about 70k on the Ukrainian.