this post was submitted on 11 May 2024
2268 points (98.1% liked)

Science Memes

10348 readers
1933 users here now

Welcome to c/science_memes @ Mander.xyz!

A place for majestic STEMLORD peacocking, as well as memes about the realities of working in a lab.



Rules

  1. Don't throw mud. Behave like an intellectual and remember the human.
  2. Keep it rooted (on topic).
  3. No spam.
  4. Infographics welcome, get schooled.


Research Committee

Other Mander Communities

Science and Research

Biology and Life Sciences

Physical Sciences

Humanities and Social Sciences

Practical and Applied Sciences

Memes

Miscellaneous

founded 2 years ago
MODERATORS
 
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
[–] [email protected] 1 points 4 months ago (1 children)

I mean..

No. It's not margin of error right now. It's a clear Trump W. Not once you account for Trump's consistent over performance and Bidens consistent underperformance relative to polling aggregates. Everyone with eyes has been seeing it for better than a year.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Consistent in two elections? That’s not consistent. That’s not even data, let alone a trend.

As I said, pollsters adjust the demographic weighting based on election results. It is possible they will again underestimate Trump’s performance. It’s also possible they will overestimate it. Only time will tell.

But regardless of that issue, it is within the margin of error—that is a statistical reality irrelevant to your speculation about polling errors.

[–] [email protected] -1 points 4 months ago

None of what I'm saying is speculation, and you are a buffoon.