this post was submitted on 14 Aug 2023
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[–] [email protected] 58 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

You are right, the spot exchange rate at a given point in time is random and tells you nothing (nothing!) about the strength of a currency (or economy). Japan is a great example.

What, however, does indicate a weakening or economic downturn is the uncontrolled depreciation of a currency, which errodes savings, threatens foreign debt paybacks, and makes imports more expensive

The Yen is relatively stable for decades at its spot. The Rubel is sliding against monetary and fiscal efforts, which indicates deeper macroeconomic issues.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

"Deeper economic issues" is one of nicer things he's been called since he started openly warmongering.