thingsiplay
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I was just correcting your initial 100k estimation of Mastodon accounts. That's all. No need to get cocky.
Even if your numbers are true. Mastodon has existed for 7 years. Bluesky for less than one.
That doesn't matter, because most users just came in the last year. Just shortly after Mastodon begun to explode in 2023 from 2 million to over 10 (and now seemingly over 15 million) registrations, Bluesky came in. So the 7 years comparison doesn't matter here.
So logically the precentage of users to active users should be much higher on Bluesky.
Probably, but without statistics its just our gut feeling. And as you saw a few minutes ago, your gut feeling can be drastically wrong. My point was not here to race count Mastodon vs Bluesky, but to point your estimation of Mastodon accounts being vastly underestimated.
According to Wikipedia Bluesky has 10 million users and 5 million monthly active: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bluesky That would be about what Mastodon has, if we believe those numbers. My point is, you totally over estimate Bluesky and underestimate Mastodon. The exact numbers does not matter here, what matters is my point that the user base is split into these two worlds.
I don't know where you got that number from, but at least these statistics say Mastodon got 9 million users (but not all are active off course, same should be true for BlueSky): https://mastodon-analytics.com/ And this account claims 15 million: https://mastodon.social/@mastodonusercount and a Wikipedia article says "On 19 March 2023, Mastodon passed the ten million mark for registered user accounts": https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mastodon_(social_network)#2022_Twitter-related_spikes_in_adoption
Now, I do not claim these numbers to be correct. But compared to your estimation its vastly different.
Edit: Just for context of my reply, as you edited yours. You said you don't believe Mastodon would even have 100 thousand users.
There was lot of people recommending BlueSky over Fediverse, when the big hype happened. The biggest problem to me is, that this split up the user base considerably. Which in turn weakened its potential for both platforms to overtake Twitter.
Just under us: If you want so, we took Twitter over. It's renamed to X. :-p ..., nah, just joking, it's still Twitter.
At least Bluesky is decentralized and Open Source, isn't it? While this is a conceptual step down from Fediverse, it's still better than all the other alternatives in use. I don't know how much the Bluesky company controls the entire platform, if its even possible.
Even the bigger model of LCD with 512 GB compared to the cheapest 64 GB model is on sale at the moment, for about 350 Euros (still under 400 US Dollars I think). It's crazy!
I don't think this is just wishful thinking in my opinion. It's exactly what I think. PS5 Pro is an optional upgrade for enthusiasts. The brand and companies success does not depend on it. I even think the PS6 will be cheaper than PS5 Pro, because it will look like bargain now. And the success of Playstation as a whole depends on how many baseline units are sold. I don't think that even Sony can afford 700 Dollars (without disc drive) for the PS6.
But off course it depends on future economics situation in the word (Yen conversion) and if there is good competition from Xbox. At that point Microsoft probably has the next generation Xbox Infinite on the market and then it would be tough for Sony not to fight on the price. Probably a wishful thinking on my part too, but also not too unrealistic! Right?^^
I think the Playstation 6 will be cheaper than Playstation 5 Professional. Why? Because its the baseline and not Pro. The reason why the Pro model can be this expensive is, because its an optional hardware and doesn't even need to sell well. Selling the baseline Playstation 6 unit is crucial for Sony and they need to sell a lot. Also this establishes a new height, which means if the next generation console PS6 is cheaper than PS5 Pro, then it looks like a bargain.
Also the current Yen and price conversions are expensive for Sony, so it depends on the future market if stuff gets cheaper as well. And if there is good competition. At the moment, there is no Xbox competition at Pro model line or even much of at baseline versions.
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